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Dynamic reliability analysis for residual life assessment of corroded subsea pipelines
Published in Ships and Offshore Structures, 2021
Reza Aulia, Henry Tan, Srinivas Sriramula
Figure 6 presents a causal network model for pipeline corrosion mechanism, which is widely recognised as the main failure threat for pipelines. Two types of corrosion are considered in this model, i.e. internal corrosion and external corrosion. Multiple internal and external factors and their interactions are required to be considered in the analysis. The presence of carbon dioxide (CO2) and hydrogen-sulphide (H2S) in the production fluid can cause severe internal corrosion problems in oil and gas pipelines, while the external corrosion is mainly affected by seawater condition such as salinity and O2 concentration. The mitigation of corrosion is also considered in this analysis, such as corrosion inhibitor injection, pipe cleaning, utilisation of internal coating, cathodic protection, concrete weight coating and external corrosion coating. The temporal clones (shaded in the figure) represent nodes from the previous time slices. In practical instances, these temporal clones are taken from pipeline operational, inspection and incident history data.